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Electoral Lynchpin Contest Today in UK

London(June 07, 2017):Theresa May looks on course for a definitive victory over Jeremy Corbyn in the general election, as the final poll for The Independent shows her party enjoying a 10-point lead over Labour.

If the figures in the ComRes poll are replicated on Thursday, projections indicate a concrete 74-seat majority – the largest the Conservatives have secured since the days of Margaret Thatcher.

But the survey also gives key insights as to where Mr Corbyn could have fallen short, despite Labour having halved the Conservative lead since the start of the election campaign.

According to Electoral Calculus, the numbers would deliver Ms May 362 seats in the Commons, 31 more than her party currently enjoys, while Labour would be left with 212, 20 fewer than they have now. The projection also suggests the Lib Dems and Scottish National Party would lose seats.

Ms May could comfortably claim a strong mandate from the result, while the 74-seat cushion in the Commons will mean she can be far more certain of pushing Brexit and other policies through both Houses of Parliament.

The Survation poll for Good Morning Britain (GMB) put the Tories on 41.5 per cent with Labour on 40.4 per cent.

If such a result were replicated on Thursday it would put the Conservatives’ majority in Parliament in jeopardy. But opinion polls by other leading polling firms have given wider leads for the Conservatives in recent days, ranging as high as 11 and 12 points.

The Conservatives had a 17-point lead with the pollster at the start of May, but Labour’s rise reflected a campaign which more than half of those polled thought had been better than Theresa May’s.

The latest poll was conducted on Friday and Saturday, before an attack in London by Islamist militants killed seven people and injured 48.

The latest poll put the Liberal Democrats on 6 per cent and Ukip on 3 per cent. It was based on interviews with 1,103 people and the data was weighted to be representative of all UK adults.

The Conservatives’ lead over Labour continued to fall after a suicide bombing in Manchester on 22 May, but polling firms have linked the narrowing to the rival parties’ policy proposals rather than the attack.

Fifty per cent of respondents in the poll thought Ms May would make a better prime minister than Jeremy Corbyn, but his credibility as a potential leader of the country has risen to 36 per cent from 15 per cent in early May.

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